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您的位置 首页
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股票
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class="post-1681 post type-post status-publish format-standard hentry category-stock tag-666 tag-703 tag-702">
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美国股市当前这波跌势急速又猛烈，抛售幅度惊人，不禁令人想起去年2月的那波暴跌。需要提醒的是，当时那轮跌势几乎持续了一整年。
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美国股市当前这波跌势急速又猛烈，抛售幅度惊人，不禁令人想起去年2月的那波暴跌。需要提醒的是，当时那轮跌势几乎持续了一整年。
那么，当前这波跌势是否会重演那段历史呢？
至少，这次有一处情形与去年不同：投资者们现在都进入了避险模式，忙着做风险对冲。而去年四季度美股崩跌之前，无论是机构还是散户，都有高涨的风险偏好，竭尽所能地买买买，争相做多股票。
正如美银美林对基金经理们展开的最新调研结果显示的那样，在大约250位合计掌管着6870亿美元的基金经理当中，多达34%的人表示他们采取了风险对冲措施，为未来三个月可能的股市大幅下跌做好了准备。这一比例创出了美银美林相关调研的最高记录。
由于采取风险对冲措施的人数比例增加， 处于负数区间的净对冲人数比例收窄为-21% 。这两组数据都是美银美林开展相关调研以来的最高记录。
好在，这些基金经理们目前并没有为了潜在的全面避险而布局仓位。
截至目前，全球贸易局势仍是基金经理们认为的头号尾部风险。同时，美银美林首席投资策略师Michael Hartnett团队表示，全球经济衰退的风险正在攀升，不过，爆发时间并不会很近，可能在2020年下半年或者之后。
基金经理们最拥挤的交易集中在做多科技股上面，其次是做空欧洲股市，再次是做多美元。具体来说，有35%的基金经理做多美国科技股，16%做空欧股：
当被问及关于美联储降息的看法时，基金经理们给出的平均答案是肯定的，普遍认为万一股市崩盘，联储不会坐视血流成河的惨状不理，届时将会放松金融环境来支撑股市。
当前CME的联邦基金利率期货暗示市场认为美联储今年会降息一次，幅度25个基点，明年也会降息。
至于美股跌到什么水准美联储才会挺身而出，美银美林的基金经理调查结果显示，大概在2350点——那意味着标普500指数从隔夜收盘价2834点下跌17%。
值得注意的是，目前标普500指数正处于一个至关重要的点位附近：2800点。该点位是美股投资者再熟悉不过的，它正是去年年初以来多空双方激烈搏杀、且高度重视的点位，被各自视为关键支撑位或阻力位。
调研报告显示，基金经理们对全球股市的仓位配置比例下滑了6个百分点，至净超配11%；对债券的配比维持在净低配34%；对现金则攀升7个百分点，至净超配33%。
其中，新兴市场股票仍受到基金经理们的青睐，按照地域来说是他们最喜欢的股市，净超配34%。最不受欢迎的是英国股市，净低配28%。
好在，这些基金经理们目前并没有为了潜在的全面避险而布局仓位。
截至目前，全球贸易局势仍是基金经理们认为的头号尾部风险。同时，美银美林首席投资策略师Michael Hartnett团队表示，全球经济衰退的风险正在攀升，不过，爆发时间并不会很近，可能在2020年下半年或者之后。
基金经理们最拥挤的交易集中在做多科技股上面，其次是做空欧洲股市，再次是做多美元。具体来说，有35%的基金经理做多美国科技股，16%做空欧股：
当被问及关于美联储降息的看法时，基金经理们给出的平均答案是肯定的，普遍认为万一股市崩盘，联储不会坐视血流成河的惨状不理，届时将会放松金融环境来支撑股市。
当前CME的联邦基金利率期货暗示市场认为美联储今年会降息一次，幅度25个基点，明年也会降息。
至于美股跌到什么水准美联储才会挺身而出，美银美林的基金经理调查结果显示，大概在2350点——那意味着标普500指数从隔夜收盘价2834点下跌17%。
值得注意的是，目前标普500指数正处于一个至关重要的点位附近：2800点。该点位是美股投资者再熟悉不过的，它正是去年年初以来多空双方激烈搏杀、且高度重视的点位，被各自视为关键支撑位或阻力位。
调研报告显示，基金经理们对全球股市的仓位配置比例下滑了6个百分点，至净超配11%；对债券的配比维持在净低配34%；对现金则攀升7个百分点，至净超配33%。
其中，新兴市场股票仍受到基金经理们的青睐，按照地域来说是他们最喜欢的股市，净超配34%。最不受欢迎的是英国股市，净低配28%。
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基金 美联储 降息
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为您推荐
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http://sky.itubsoft.com/wp-content/themes/damenhu/assets/img/site-url-qrcode.png)
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http://sky.itubsoft.com/wp-content/themes/damenhu/assets/img/weixin-qrcode.png)
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http://sky.itubsoft.com/wp-content/themes/damenhu/assets/img/weixin-code.png)
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http://sky.itubsoft.com/wp-content/themes/damenhu/assets/img/alipay-code.png)
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http://sky.itubsoft.com/wp-content/themes/damenhu/thumb.php?src=<br />
<b>Warning</b>: mysqli_query(): (HY000/1194): Table 'wp_options' is marked as crashed and should be repaired in <b>/www/wwwroot/www.wpcaiji.com/wp-includes/class-wpdb.php</b> on line <b>2344</b><br />
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http://sky.itubsoft.com/wp-content/themes/damenhu/images/1.jpg&w=300&h=180)
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http://sky.itubsoft.com/wp-content/themes/damenhu/thumb.php?src=http://5b0988e595225.cdn.sohucs.com/images/20190515/aace7c1a258a45e8a0f545d180159a5d.png&w=300&h=180)
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http://sky.itubsoft.com/wp-content/themes/damenhu/thumb.php?src=http://5b0988e595225.cdn.sohucs.com/images/20190515/37d21848ff83495988a9efa5f0a53eb5.jpeg&w=300&h=180)
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http://sky.itubsoft.com/wp-content/themes/damenhu/thumb.php?src=http://5b0988e595225.cdn.sohucs.com/images/20190515/2705b66aa5a84818afbf83c37cf37cdf.jpeg&w=300&h=180)
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